دانلود کتاب پیوند تاریخ و سیاست – مقالاتی در مورد تاب‌آوری، پایداری و مدل‌سازی سیستم‌ها

The papers in this volume are the revised and expanded versions of a series of papers delivered at a colloquium held at Princeton University in May 2024 under the aegis of the Climate Change and History Research Initiative, with the addition of papers delivered at the “Bridging the Gap: Integrating Historical Knowledge and Complex Human-Environmental Systems Modeling” workshop held at the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology (MPI-GEA), Jena, in December 2023. They address questions of scale, complexity, systems modelling, information-sharing, and challenges of policy relevance with the aim of moving our fields forward in better mobilizing our results for actionable use. Given the overlap in theme as well as a longstanding collaboration between the CCHRI and the MPI-GEA at Jena, this seemed an appropriate way to integrate two sets of papers dealing with similar issues and challenges. The past five years have seen many breakthroughs in establishing the past as a key dimension for global change researchers and highlighting the need to bring environmental history, archaeology, complexity studies, environmental humanities, and environmental science disciplines together with policymakers and nonacademic holders of local and traditional knowledge and practitioners attempting to address policy challenges and manage resources for sustainability. In multiple fields we are seeing acceptance of the importance of stories of long-term human ecodynamics for current and future sustainability efforts. Heritage and community engagement are now recognized as key elements in shaping more successful responses to global change impacts and in rallying support for action on climate change. But many challenges remain for teams to move from isolated and often superficially understood “lessons of history” to deliver actionable advice to managers and decision-makers. Problems of disciplinary structure (single-author books vs. multiauthored articles), survival of early career scholars in multidisciplinary projects, and effective use of scientific data by humanists (and historical data by scientists) are all widely recognized problems. International, interdisciplinary programmes such as IHOPE (Integrated History and Future of People on Earth), Princeton CCHRI (Climate Change and History Research Initiative), and NABO Cooperative (North Atlantic Biocultural Organization) have worked to cross disciplinary boundaries and are increasingly working to integrate local and traditional knowledge and communities. Cross-regional comparisons are working to identify recurring patterns in human reaction to past ecodynamic processes in an attempt to identify patterns that cross-cut very different world regions and local cultures. These developments suggest that we have an opportunity to share lessons of success (and failure) and good practice ideas and tools for using diverse datasets in effective and creative ways. The present collection bridges the domains of history and archaeology, systems modelling, and policymaking. By integrating the insights of historians, archaeologists, complex systems modellers, and sustainability experts, our aim is to generate actionable knowledge to inform policies targeting pressing modern-day problems such as climate change, regional and global conflicts, mass migrations, and resource scarcity. Given that experimenting with large social-environmental systems is impractical and ethically contentious, historical records provide important observational data to study the dynamics of complex systems over time. History reveals patterns of resilience and collapse in response to past challenges and offers lessons that can inform contemporary strategies. One of the key themes of this book is the use of complex systems theory and historical data to understand better the intricate interplay between climatic, social, political, economic, and technological systems. The contributors explore theoretical and methodological aspects essential for formulating effective policies to promote sustainable development, reduce socioeconomic inequalities, and prevent systemic collapses, as well as presenting examples of both successes and failures. This interdisciplinary exploration includes cutting-edge techniques in systems modelling, highlighting the burgeoning role of machine learning and artificial intelligence. By facilitating collaborative efforts among diverse experts, the book aims to create a foundation for more robust, evidence-based policies to address better the multifaceted challenges facing today’s society. Collectively, we hope that this volume will serve as a resource for policymakers, modellers, and researchers involved in the study of the past who are interested in leveraging interdisciplinary approaches to tackle modern-day challenges. The editors and CCHRI core group (Lee Mordechai, Tim Newfield, and Adam Izdebski) are grateful to the Princeton Institute for International and Regional Studies for technical and financial support, the High Meadows Environmental Institute, the Seeger Center for Hellenic Studies, and the Center for Collaborative History, and at Jena to the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology for providing funding and support for the 2023 workshop “Bridging the Gap: Integrating Historical Knowledge and Complex Human-Environmental Systems Modeling” organized by Ricardo Fernandes and Adam Izdebski.