دانلود کتاب برنامه‌ریزی، اطلاعات و هنر جنگ

Good military intelligence is integral to planning. Military intelligence represents the epitome of attempts to fulfill Sun Tzu’s admonition to know the enemy and know yourself in order to assure victory in battle.1 While “knowing” is an important aspect, the key distinguishing feature of intelligence is that it is predictive in nature.2 Intelligence provides insights into knowing what the enemy can do and how it can harm or impede friendly forces; knowing the enemy’s objectives and values; and knowing relative strengths and weaknesses between two (or more) opposing sides. These things are necessary to forecast what the enemy might do whether as the initiator of a conflict to achieve their objectives or as a response to some action. From these strengths, weaknesses, and forecasts, analysts can identify those targets that will have the biggest impact upon the enemy. Intelligence reduces uncertainty about what to attack and protect. Once these forecasts are made, the collection enterprise serves the same purpose as Sun Tzu’s spies: to understand the adversary’s intent and monitor indications to judge the accuracy of the forecasts of enemy behavior as well as the impacts of friendly operations.